History of Bond Rating
January 11, 2012 Leave a comment
The Big Three bond-ratings agencies; Moody’s, Standard & Poor’s (S&P) and Fitch, occupy a unique place in the world’s financial system. These uniquely American organizations attempt to assess the level of risk associated with securities. In the process they determine the value of securities and the credit worthiness of everything from corporations to nations.
The Big Three are so important because on some level they determine how much it will cost for governments and companies to borrow money. This is because these agencies attempt to assess how much a risk somebody is taking by lending money to a particular entity. The lender will usually base the interest rate it is willing to charge on the level risk. The interesting thing about the Big Three is that they are private companies yet they maybe the most important watchdogs in our financial system.
How It all Began
Back in the Dark Ages of Wall Street in the late 19th and early 20th Centuries investors had few ways of determining the actual value of investments. Many of the securities and equities of the era were little more than pieces of paper. Investors had no way of telling the good from the bad.
That began to change in 1900 when an errand runner turned investment analyst named John Moody published what he called Moody’s Manual. The Manual provided statistics and other basic information about stocks and industries. In 1909 after the stock market crash of 1907 Moody began offering his Moody’s Analyses of Railroad Investments. In it he attempted to grade railroad bonds and stocks the most popular investments of the day This was a book that a trader or investor could look into see the risks and costs associated with railroad investments. This was the first attempt to provide an in depth analysis of a particular class of investments.
In 1906 a company called Standard Statistics was launched to provide investors with ratings for municipal bonds, sovereign debts and corporate bonds. This company later merged with pioneering business publisher Poor’s Publishing to become S&P in 1941.
Fitch Ratings entered the business in 1913 when John Knowles Fitch began publishing his Fitch Stock and Bond Manual. In 1924 Fitch launched the first bond rating system with AAA being the best and D the worst. This became the basis for all modern ratings systems.
Nationally Recognized Statistical Ratings Organizations
The vast expansion of the financial industry after World War II led to increased demands for ratings and for oversight. In the mid 1970s the Securities and Exchange Commission began taking an interest in the Big Three’s activities. In response to this they developed Nationally Recognized Statistical Ratings Organizations or NRSROs. Financial institutions could meet capital requirements by investing in securities that received a good NRSRO.
The Big Three become Global Powers
By the 1990s the Big Three had become global powers because they were rating everything from municipal bonds to national debts. The ratings agencies were determining how much nations paid to borrow money. They also began expanding the world by opening offices in cities like London.
S&P even made national news in summer 2011 by threatening to downgrade US treasury bonds because of the political situation in the US. As securities became a larger and larger portion of the financial market the Big Three’s power increased.
Criticism of Bond Rating
The Financial Crisis of 2007-2008 led to a great deal of criticism of the Big Three and bond rating in general. Critics charged that agencies had given good ratings to questionable mortgage securities and derivatives. Other critics noted that the Big Three had given good ratings to some financial institutions including the giant insurance company AIG right before they collapsed or nearly collapsed.
Another charge was that the relationship between the agencies and some financial institutions was too cozy. The charge was that these companies were the Big Three’s customers so they had a vested interest in giving their products good ratings.
Whether these charges will stick or not is hard to determine. There were calls for regulation of the agencies and some official investigations immediately after the Financial Crisis. No concrete government action came out of any of these allegations.
Steven Hart is a freelance writer and a Financial Advisor from Cary, IL. He writes about Annuity topics like Annuities Explained, Fixed Income Annuity, and Annuity Leads.